Super Bowl LX Betting Preview
Super Bowl LX is finally here.
This year’s showpiece takes place in the United States (prime time Sunday night), with kick-off at 11:30pm UK time. Late one — coffee required.
We’ve got the full spectacle as always.
Bad Bunny headlines the halftime show, with Charlie Puth singing the national anthem.
As for history:
The Patriots are chasing another Lombardi Trophy in what has been a remarkably consistent season. Their most recent Super Bowl win came in 2018 when they defeated Los Angeles Rams 13-3.
The Seahawks return to the big stage looking to add another ring since their last Super Bowl win which was back in 2013. They destroyed Denver Broncos in Super Bowl XLVIII scoring 7 points or more in every quarter in a 43-8 win.
These two famously met in Super Bowl XLIX back in 2015 — Patriots winning 28–24 in dramatic fashion.
It doesn’t get much bigger than this.
Short on time?
No problem.
You can add my selections straight to your bet365 bet slip by clicking the text below. Each link contains an instant bet slip:
Click here to add Tip 1 straight to your bet365 bet slip – My strongest bet (Four-fold) – 31/10
Click here to add Tip 2 straight to your bet365 bet slip – My next best (Double) – 11/1
Click here to add Tip 3 straight to your bet365 bet slip – The outside punt (Double) – 95/1
The Road to the Super Bowl
Patriots (17–3 including postseason)
There’s no getting away from it — they’ve had a favourable schedule.
Across the regular season, they faced very few teams that finished with winning records and only beat one genuinely strong side during that stretch.
That said…
They’ve gone 20 games without losing by more than a touchdown. Every defeat has been by 7 points or fewer. That’s consistency. That’s structure. That’s discipline.
Postseason run:
Beat Chargers by 13 (banged-up O-line)
Beat Texans by 12 (Texans turned it over five times)
Edged Broncos 10–7 (without Broncos QB1)
Solid. Professional. But not dominant.
Drake Maye hasn’t looked quite as fluid in the playoffs as he did during the regular season.
Seahawks (16–3 including postseason)
Seattle, in my opinion, have had the tougher and more impressive path.
They beat:
49ers 41–6 (injury-hit, yes — but ruthless performance)
Rams 31–27 in a proper shootout
Multiple 12+ win teams across the season
Darnold hasn’t turned the ball over in his last three games. That matters.
The Seahawks have beaten several playoff-calibre sides and have shown they can win in different ways — run-heavy when needed, explosive when required.
That’s a healthier Super Bowl profile.
Head-to-Head
Seahawks lead the all-time series 11–9.
Recent meetings:
2024 – Seahawks 23-20
2020 – Seahawks 35-30
2016 – Seahawks 31-24
2015 – Patriots 28-24
2012 – Seahawks 24-23
Four of the last five decided by 7 points or fewer.
These games are tight.
Quarterback Breakdown
Drake Maye
72% completion rate in the regular season — elite accuracy.
450 rushing yards and genuine dual-threat ability.
But…
He’s been less dynamic in the playoffs. Shoulder knock late in the Conference round is worth monitoring.
If Seattle lead early — which I expect — Maye will be forced to throw.
That brings Over 18.5 completions into play. This would be a selection I would add into all of my Bet Builders, but sadly bet365 are not offering this market at the time of me writing this. Their lowest line is 20+ and that seems just a little bit high.
Sam Darnold
67.7% completion rate. 4,000+ passing yards.
Not reckless. More composed this season.
And he has an elite target in Jaxon Smith-Njigba.
When Seattle needed him most in the Championship game, JSN delivered:
10 catches
153 yards
1 TD
That connection is not something you abandon on Super Bowl night.
I like:
Darnold over 1.5 passing TDs
JSN anytime TD
Defensive Matchups (2025 Season)
Both defences are strong — you don’t reach a Super Bowl without that.
But the weak spots are interesting.
Patriots Defence
Weakest against:
WR1s (9 TDs allowed)
TE2s (4 TDs allowed)
That screams value on:
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
Seahawks tight ends
Seahawks Defence
Weakest against:
WR1s (8 TDs allowed)
TE2s (3 TDs allowed)
That points to:
Stefon Diggs
Hunter Henry
Possibly Austin Hooper as a longer shot
The matchup data supports touchdown angles on both sides.
How I See It Playing Out
I think Seattle start fast.
I think they score early.
I think they win.
That forces Maye into volume passing mode. If this becomes a shootout, that suits Seattle more.
The Seahawks have already shown they’re comfortable in high-scoring games.
The question isn’t whether points will come.
It’s whether Maye can match Darnold drive for drive.
My Recommended Bets
My Main Bet – Super Bowl LX
Seahawks to Win (Moneyline)
Sam Darnold to throw 2+ passing touchdowns
Jaxon Smith-Njigba to score a TD
Stefon Diggs 4+ receptions
31/10
Secondary Bet
Hunter Henry to score a TD
AJ Barner to score a TD
11/1
Outside Punt
Austin Hooper to score a TD
Elijah Arroyo to score a TD
95/1
18+
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Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.